Is war all against all coming in Ethiopia and what will be its implications?

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Drs. Tsegezab Gebregergis

After looking at the above picture, on October 20 2019, I posted an article bearing the title: “Is This Not An Invitation to War of All Against All?”

In that post, I stated that there was every indication that the various Oromo ethnic groups were determined to eat the political cake in Ethiopia by themselves.

Having made this claim, I posed the following questions: Is this heralding the end of the tyranny of one ethnic minority and the beginning of the tyranny of an ethnic majority in Ethiopia? Will this lead to peace or to the long expected war of all against all? And how will the political storm gathering on the horizon affect precarious Eritrea?

Subsequently, I invited the readers of Mdrebahri.com to give their opinions and, as if he were responding to the above questions, Dawit Woldegiorgis, an Ethiopian expert on East Africa succinctly stated:

“If civil war begins in Ethiopia, it will be unprecedented catastrophe the likes of which have not been seen in Africa. It will also create an opportunity for extremists like al Shabab to flourish in next-door Ethiopia, which has a 40% Muslim population. Because of the Nile River, the lifeline of both Sudan and Egypt, instability in Ethiopia will be a major concern and it is likely that these countries will intervene either directly or indirectly. Together with the failed states of South Sudan, Somalia, Central African Republic, Yemen across the Red Sea, and with Sudan and Eritrea teetering as a result of US sanctions, the Horn could turn out to be the most complicated security zone the world has yet to see with severe implications for maritime activities in the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea.”

So much is then at stake if war all against all breaks out in Ethiopia and there will not be winners, only losers, in such dirty and irresponsible wars.



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